Copa del Rey, round 1 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3) · Campo Municipal El Collao
Alcoyano — Mallorca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
In short
Mallorca are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mallorca are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Mallorca are 280 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Mallorca: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alcoyano — Mallorca What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| Alcoyano not to lose | 30% | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alcoyano
- Alcoyano goals
- Mallorca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.01Real Madrid1:3
- 14.12Levante3:3
- 30.11away · CD Badajoz3:0
- 28.01Athletic Club1:2
- 20.01Real Madrid2:1
- 02.11Cádiz2:1
- 24.10away · Leganés1:1
- 17.10away · Eibar1:1
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →