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Copa del Rey, round 1 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3) · Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón

CD Tarancon — Levante

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Model prediction for 5 November

CD Tarancon6%
Draw13%
Levante80%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Levante are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.

3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Levante are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Levante are 394 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CD Tarancon — Levante What is xG?0.7–2.8
CD Tarancon not to lose20%
Levante not to lose94%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.567%
Total under 2.533%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CD Tarancon
  • CD Tarancon goals
  • Levante goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CD Tarancon

No past matches in the data yet.

Levante

  • 31.10Atlético Madrid0:2
  • 25.10away · Real Sociedad1:2
  • 21.10Athletic Club3:1
  • 16.10away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
  • 12.10Sevilla3:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →