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Copa del Rey, round 1 · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3) · Campo Txerloia

Anaitasuna FT — Deportivo Alavés

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Model prediction for 3 November

Anaitasuna FT5%
Draw12%
Deportivo Alavés83%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Deportivo Alavés are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Alavés are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Deportivo Alavés are 395 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Deportivo Alavés: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaitasuna FT — Deportivo Alavés What is xG?0.7–2.9
Anaitasuna FT not to lose17%
Deportivo Alavés not to lose95%
No draw88%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.569%
Total under 2.531%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Anaitasuna FT
  • Anaitasuna FT goals
  • Deportivo Alavés goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Anaitasuna FT

  • 17.12Getafe1:2

Deportivo Alavés

  • 31.10away · Barcelona1:6
  • 23.10Málaga1:1
  • 18.10away · Celta Vigo1:2
  • 10.10Atlético Madrid1:2
  • 19.09away · Athletic Club0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →