Copa del Rey, round 1 · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3) · Polideportivo Municipal Valle de Aranguren
Pamplona — Eibar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
In short
Eibar are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eibar are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Eibar are 325 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Eibar: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pamplona — Eibar What is xG? | 0.8–2.4 | |
| Pamplona not to lose | 27% | |
| Eibar not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Pamplona
- Pamplona goals
- Eibar goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 31.10Almería1:1
- 24.10away · Córdoba0:2
- 17.10Mallorca1:1
- 12.10away · Real Oviedo1:3
- 03.10away · Albacete3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- 512832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →