Athletico Paranaense — Remo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Athletico Paranaense are clear favourites: 66% against 12% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Athletico Paranaense are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Athletico Paranaense are 198 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Athletico Paranaense — No. 5, 54 pts; Remo — No. 19, 29 pts. A gap of 25 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Athletico Paranaense 2 wins, Remo 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Athletico Paranaense — Remo What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Athletico Paranaense not to lose | 88% | |
| Remo not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Athletico Paranaense
- Athletico Paranaense goals
- Remo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Athletico Paranaense | Remo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.39 | 1.01 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.60 | 1.76 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 15.1 |
| On target | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 45 |
Form
- 30.10away · Grêmio0:2
- 24.10away · Vitória1:1
- 18.10Palmeiras0:2
- 13.10away · Chapecoense4:1
- 09.10Atlético-MG2:2
- 29.10Botafogo2:1
- 24.10away · Cruzeiro0:1
- 19.10RB Bragantino1:1
- 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
- 08.10Grêmio1:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Remo — Athletico Paranaense1:2
- 10.10.2025Remo — Athletico Paranaense2:1
- 15.06.2025Athletico Paranaense — Remo2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Copa Libertadores | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | +10 | 54 |
| 5, Copa Libertadores | Athletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | +10 | 54 |
| 6, Copa Sudamericana | Bahia | 33 | 14 | +6 | 53 |
| 18, Relegation | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | -6 | 36 |
| 19, Relegation | Remo | 33 | 6 | -15 | 29 |
| 20, Relegation | Chapecoense | 33 | 4 | -35 | 21 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- ChapecoenseCruzeiropreliminary1321662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →