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Brazilian Serie A, round 36 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Athletico Paranaense — Remo

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Model prediction for 22 November

Athletico Paranaense66%
Draw21%
Remo12%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Athletico Paranaense are clear favourites: 66% against 12% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Athletico Paranaense are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Athletico Paranaense are 198 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Athletico Paranaense — No. 5, 54 pts; Remo — No. 19, 29 pts. A gap of 25 pts.
  • Last 3 meetings: Athletico Paranaense 2 wins, Remo 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Athletico Paranaense — Remo What is xG?2.0–0.8
Athletico Paranaense not to lose88%
Remo not to lose34%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Athletico Paranaense
  • Athletico Paranaense goals
  • Remo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAthletico ParanaenseRemo
Goals scored per match1.90.9
Goals conceded per match2.01.4
xG per match1.391.01
Opponents’ xG1.601.76
Shots15.815.1
On target6.04.0
Corners6.76.7
Cards2.32.1
Possession, %5045

Averages per match: Athletico Paranaense — the last 10, Remo — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Athletico Paranaense

  • 30.10away · Grêmio0:2
  • 24.10away · Vitória1:1
  • 18.10Palmeiras0:2
  • 13.10away · Chapecoense4:1
  • 09.10Atlético-MG2:2

Remo

  • 29.10Botafogo2:1
  • 24.10away · Cruzeiro0:1
  • 19.10RB Bragantino1:1
  • 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
  • 08.10Grêmio1:1

Head to head

  • 24.05.2026Remo — Athletico Paranaense1:2
  • 10.10.2025Remo — Athletico Paranaense2:1
  • 15.06.2025Athletico Paranaense — Remo2:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Copa LibertadoresFluminense33159952–42+1054
5, Copa LibertadoresAthletico Paranaense33159950–40+1054
6, Copa SudamericanaBahia331411848–42+653
18, RelegationCorinthians33991536–42-636
19, RelegationRemo336111636–51-1529
20, RelegationChapecoense33492033–68-3521

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →