Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Evenly matched: Barcelona SC 32%, LDU de Quito 37%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Barcelona SC are 60 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Barcelona SC 1 win, LDU de Quito 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Barcelona SC not to lose | 63% | |
| LDU de Quito not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Barcelona SC | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| Shots | 11.5 | 13.6 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 59 |
Form
- 01.11away · CSD Macará0:3
- 26.10away · Aucas4:0
- 19.10Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
- 12.10away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 14.09Delfín1:1
- 01.11away · Independiente del Valle0:2
- 25.10CSD Macará1:2
- 18.10away · Aucas1:1
- 12.10Barcelona SC2:1
- 21.09Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
Head to head
- 12.10.2026LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC2:1
- 27.07.2026Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito0:1
- 04.04.2026LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC0:2
- 23.11.2025Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito2:2
- 18.10.2025LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC3:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →