Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Mushuc Runa — Delfín
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Mushuc Runa are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mushuc Runa are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Mushuc Runa are 68 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Mushuc Runa: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Mushuc Runa 2 wins, Delfín 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Mushuc Runa 6, Delfín 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mushuc Runa — Delfín What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Mushuc Runa not to lose | 76% | |
| Delfín not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa goals
- Delfín goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Mushuc Runa | Delfín |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 13.3 |
| On target | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| Cards | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 56 |
Form
- 03.11Manta2:3
- 26.10away · Técnico Universitario0:3
- 19.10Orense1:1
- 09.10away · Delfín2:3
- 21.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 31.10Deportivo Cuenca3:1
- 24.10away · Orense0:4
- 18.10Manta4:2
- 09.10Mushuc Runa3:2
- 20.09away · Técnico Universitario1:1
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Delfín — Mushuc Runa3:2
- 28.08.2026Mushuc Runa — Delfín1:0
- 03.05.2026Delfín — Mushuc Runa1:0
- 16.06.2025Delfín — Mushuc Runa3:1
- 18.02.2025Mushuc Runa — Delfín2:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →