Argentine Liga Profesional · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Barracas Central — Racing Club
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
In short
Barracas Central are slightly stronger: 39% against 29%, draw 32%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Barracas Central are 131 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Barracas Central: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Barracas Central 1 win, Racing Club 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Barracas Central 4, Racing Club 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barracas Central — Racing Club What is xG? | 1.1–1.0 | |
| Barracas Central not to lose | 71% | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
Model vs market
The model and the market disagree: the model rates “Barracas Central to win” at 39%, the market at 45%.
- Barracas Central to winModel39%odds 2.56Market45%odds 2.21
- DrawModel32%odds 3.13Market29%odds 3.41
- Racing Club to winModel29%odds 3.45Market25%odds 3.93
- Total over 2.5Model36%odds 2.78Market38%odds 2.61
- Total under 2.5Model64%odds 1.56Market62%odds 1.62
- Both teams to score: yesModel44%odds 2.27Market45%odds 2.22
- Both teams to score: noModel56%odds 1.79Market55%odds 1.82
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- Racing Club goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Barracas Central | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.69 | 1.54 |
| Shots | 14.0 | 12.9 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 56 |
Form
- 02.11away · Belgrano2:2
- 26.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 20.10away · Sarmiento1:1
- 10.10Huracán2:0
- 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
- 31.10Aldosivi2:1
- 26.10away · River Plate0:1
- 18.10Independiente1:1
- 12.10Belgrano0:2
- 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Racing Club — Barracas Central1:1
- 13.07.2025Racing Club — Barracas Central0:1
- 24.01.2025Barracas Central — Racing Club1:3
- 06.11.2024Barracas Central — Racing Club0:2
- 23.06.2023Racing Club — Barracas Central1:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4530251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →