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Brazilian Serie B, round 37 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3) · Arena NicNet

Botafogo SP — Londrina

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Model prediction for 6 November

Botafogo SP52%
Draw27%
Londrina21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Botafogo SP are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Botafogo SP are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Botafogo SP are 226 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Botafogo SP — No. 12, 48 pts; Londrina — No. 18, 32 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Botafogo SP: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: Botafogo SP 1 win, Londrina 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Botafogo SP — Londrina What is xG?1.6–1.0
Botafogo SP not to lose79%
Londrina not to lose48%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Botafogo SP
  • Botafogo SP goals
  • Londrina goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatBotafogo SPLondrina
Goals scored per match1.21.5
Goals conceded per match1.01.6
xG per match1.181.69
Opponents’ xG0.991.37
Shots13.316.0
On target3.14.7
Corners6.95.9
Cards2.32.0
Possession, %4948

Averages per match: Botafogo SP — the last 10, Londrina — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Last starting lineups

How the teams started their last match; the official lineups come about an hour before kick-off.

Botafogo SP

  1. GKVictor Souza
  2. DFJonathan
  3. DFVilar
  4. DFDarlan
  5. MFRafael Gava
  6. MFZé Hugo
  7. MFGabriel Inocêncio
  8. MFFelipe
  9. MFEverton Morelli (C)
  10. MFLeandro Maciel
  11. FWHygor
Bench (12)
  1. DFWallace
  2. MFMatheus Sales
  3. FWArthur Caíke
  4. FWKelvin
  5. FWWesley
  6. MFThiago Moraes
  7. GKJordan
  8. MFMarco Antônio
  9. MFYuri
  10. FWGuilherme Queiróz
  11. DFHenrique Teles
  12. DFPedrinho

Londrina

  1. GKLuan Ribeiro
  2. DFKauê Leonardo
  3. DFCaio
  4. DFWallace (C)
  5. DFArtur
  6. MFLucas Marques
  7. MFGeovane Meurer
  8. MFTárik
  9. FWVitinho
  10. FWWilliam Pottker
  11. FWHerbert
Bench (12)
  1. DFGabriel
  2. FWJoão Andrade
  3. GKMaurício
  4. DFAndré Dhominique
  5. DFNino Paraíba
  6. FWPablo Dyego
  7. MFGuilherme Portuga
  8. FWIgor Bahia
  9. FWGuilherme Cachoeira
  10. DFKevyn
  11. DFMatheus
  12. MFCainã

Form

Botafogo SP

  • 31.10Sport Recife1:1
  • 24.10away · Avaí2:0
  • 18.10away · CRB1:0
  • 13.10Ceará1:0
  • 08.10away · Operário-PR2:1

Londrina

  • 01.11América-MG1:3
  • 25.10away · CRB1:2
  • 21.10Cuiabá1:0
  • 14.10away · Athletic Club MG2:2
  • 08.10away · Avaí1:2

Head to head

  • 18.07.2026Londrina — Botafogo SP0:0
  • 25.11.2023Botafogo SP — Londrina0:1
  • 25.07.2023Londrina — Botafogo SP1:2

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Operário-PR361491346–48-251
12Botafogo SP361391441–39+248
13Cuiabá3611141133–30+347
17, RelegationAvaí361071933–46-1337
18, RelegationLondrina36882045–54-932
19, RelegationAmérica-MG36752426–55-2926

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →