FA Cup · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Bristol Rovers — Cambridge United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
In short
Cambridge United are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bristol Rovers — Cambridge United What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Bristol Rovers not to lose | 58% | |
| Cambridge United not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bristol Rovers
- Bristol Rovers goals
- Cambridge United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| Shots | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| On target | 2.7 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 53 |
Form
- 08.08Peterborough United0:1
- 06.12away · Port Vale0:1
- 01.11away · Bromley2:1
- 12.08Cambridge United0:2
- 12.01away · Ipswich Town0:3
- 25.08Millwall0:1
- 08.08Barnet2:1
- 10.01Birmingham City2:3
- 06.12away · Stockport County0:0
- 01.11Chester FC3:0
Head to head
- 12.08.2025Bristol Rovers — Cambridge United0:2
FA Cup on the same day
- 1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →