FA Cup · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Oxford City — Leicester City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
In short
Leicester City are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Leicester City are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Leicester City are 162 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Oxford City — Leicester City What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Oxford City not to lose | 39% | |
| Leicester City not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Oxford City
- Oxford City goals
- Leicester City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 05.11away · Fleetwood Town1:3
- 29.11away · Shrewsbury Town0:1
- 09.11Northampton Town2:1
- 09.11Solihull Moors1:5
- 25.08away · Ipswich Town1:3
- 08.08Northampton Town1:0
- 02.05away · Blackburn Rovers1:0
- 24.04Millwall1:1
- 21.04Hull City2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →