Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Bunyodkor Tashkent — Xorazm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bunyodkor Tashkent are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Bunyodkor Tashkent are 69 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bunyodkor Tashkent — No. 15, 23 pts; Xorazm — No. 14, 23 pts.
- Xorazm: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bunyodkor Tashkent — Xorazm What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent not to lose | 71% | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bunyodkor Tashkent
- Bunyodkor Tashkent goals
- Xorazm goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.10Sogdiana1:1
- 09.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 19.09Buxoro2:1
- 09.09away · Nasaf Qarshi0:3
- 04.09Surkhon-20110:1
- 16.10away · Surkhon-20110:0
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
- 10.09Sogdiana0:0
- 03.09away · AGMK0:1
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Xorazm — Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 24 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 24 | 7 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | -37 | 4 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- SogdianaDinamo Samarkandpreliminary3626382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →