Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Sogdiana — Dinamo Samarkand
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sogdiana 36%, Dinamo Samarkand 38%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 73%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Sogdiana are 51 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Sogdiana — No. 11, 29 pts; Dinamo Samarkand — No. 9, 30 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Sogdiana: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sogdiana — Dinamo Samarkand What is xG? | 1.9–1.9 | |
| Sogdiana not to lose | 62% | |
| Dinamo Samarkand not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 27% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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- Handicap Sogdiana
- Sogdiana goals
- Dinamo Samarkand goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 16.10away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:1
- 11.10Lokomotiv Tashkent2:3
- 20.09AGMK1:2
- 10.09away · Xorazm0:0
- 05.09Mashal Muborak5:2
- 09.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 17.09away · Navbahor Namangan2:3
- 10.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:0
- 05.09away · Kokand 19121:1
- 25.08Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Dinamo Samarkand — Sogdiana2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 24 | 10 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijon | 24 | 9 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 24 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Bunyodkor TashkentXorazmpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →