Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Buxoro — Nasaf Qarshi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Buxoro 33%, Nasaf Qarshi 37%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Buxoro — No. 6, 42 pts; Nasaf Qarshi — No. 5, 42 pts.
- Buxoro: unbeaten in 4; Nasaf Qarshi: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buxoro — Nasaf Qarshi What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Buxoro not to lose | 63% | |
| Nasaf Qarshi not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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Team news
Form
- 30.10away · Sogdiana1:1
- 23.10Surkhon-20110:0
- 17.10away · Dinamo Samarkand2:1
- 09.10Andijon3:2
- 19.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
- 31.10away · Surkhon-20111:1
- 24.10Sogdiana2:1
- 17.10away · Lokomotiv Tashkent0:0
- 09.10Dinamo Samarkand2:1
- 20.09away · Andijon4:1
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Nasaf Qarshi — Buxoro1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AGMK | 26 | 13 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 11 | +14 | 42 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 26 | 12 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 26 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- 6323131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →