Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Pakhtakor Tashkent — Kokand 1912
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Pakhtakor Tashkent are clear favourites: 63% against 13% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pakhtakor Tashkent are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Pakhtakor Tashkent are 295 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Pakhtakor Tashkent — No. 2, 56 pts; Kokand 1912 — No. 14, 24 pts. A gap of 32 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pakhtakor Tashkent — Kokand 1912 What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent not to lose | 87% | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Pakhtakor Tashkent
- Pakhtakor Tashkent goals
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 30.10away · Xorazm1:0
- 23.10Neftchi Fargona1:3
- 17.10away · Navbahor Namangan1:1
- 09.10Bunyodkor Tashkent3:1
- 19.09away · Mashal Muborak2:1
- 30.10Qizilqum Zarafshon0:0
- 25.10away · AGMK1:2
- 16.10Neftchi Fargona2:4
- 09.10Mashal Muborak3:0
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Kokand 1912 — Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 25 | 18 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 26 | 16 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 15 | +20 | 52 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 25 | 8 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 26 | 5 | -16 | 23 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3330372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →