Segunda Division, round 13 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Castellón — Eibar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Castellón are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Castellón are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Castellón are 79 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Castellón — No. 3, 20 pts; Eibar — No. 2, 21 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 4 meetings: Castellón 2 wins, Eibar 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Castellón — Eibar What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Castellón not to lose | 76% | |
| Eibar not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Castellón
- Castellón goals
- Eibar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Andorra0:1
- 04.10AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 28.09away · Leganés2:0
- 19.09Tenerife5:0
- 12.09away · Girona2:1
- 12.10away · Real Oviedo1:3
- 03.10away · Albacete3:1
- 27.09Las Palmas3:2
- 19.09away · Eldense2:1
- 14.09away · Celta Fortuna4:0
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Castellón — Eibar2:1
- 12.10.2025Eibar — Castellón0:0
- 15.02.2025Castellón — Eibar2:0
- 17.08.2024Eibar — Castellón1:0
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →