Scottish Premiership, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Celtic — Kilmarnock
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 86% against 5% for the opponent, draw 9%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 1.9 goals per match stronger.
- Celtic are 390 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Celtic — No. 1, 28 pts; Kilmarnock — No. 11, 9 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Celtic 5 wins, Kilmarnock 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celtic — Kilmarnock What is xG? | 3.1–0.8 | |
| Celtic not to lose | 95% | |
| Kilmarnock not to lose | 14% | |
| No draw | 91% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Celtic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.78 | 1.52 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.28 | 1.76 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 12.8 |
| On target | 7.1 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 8.6 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 58 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · Falkirk0:2
- 28.10Dundee United2:2
- 25.10away · Hibernian2:1
- 22.10Celta Vigo1:2
- 18.10Heart of Midlothian7:1
- 31.10St. Johnstone2:2
- 28.10away · Dundee FC1:3
- 24.10away · Falkirk0:3
- 17.10Motherwell3:2
- 10.10away · Rangers1:3
Head to head
- 09.08.2026Kilmarnock — Celtic1:5
- 15.02.2026Kilmarnock — Celtic2:3
- 09.11.2025Celtic — Kilmarnock4:0
- 14.09.2025Kilmarnock — Celtic1:2
- 12.04.2025Celtic — Kilmarnock5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 12 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 11 | 7 | +10 | 24 |
| 10, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | -15 | 9 |
| 12, Relegation round | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →