Scottish Premiership, round 13 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Heart of Midlothian — Falkirk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Heart of Midlothian are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Heart of Midlothian are 200 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Heart of Midlothian — No. 3, 20 pts; Falkirk — No. 4, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Falkirk: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Heart of Midlothian 4 wins, Falkirk 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Heart of Midlothian 11, Falkirk 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Heart of Midlothian — Falkirk What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Heart of Midlothian not to lose | 86% | |
| Falkirk not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Handicap Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian goals
- Falkirk goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Heart of Midlothian | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.63 | 1.29 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.48 | 1.94 |
| Shots | 16.4 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.3 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 45 |
Form
- 28.10Rangers2:2
- 25.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 22.10away · Trabzonspor0:2
- 18.10away · Celtic1:7
- 15.10Nordsjælland1:1
- 01.11Celtic2:0
- 28.10away · Aberdeen1:0
- 24.10Kilmarnock3:0
- 17.10away · Hibernian2:1
- 10.10Dundee FC1:2
Head to head
- 15.09.2026Falkirk — Heart of Midlothian2:1
- 13.05.2026Heart of Midlothian — Falkirk3:0
- 21.02.2026Heart of Midlothian — Falkirk1:0
- 13.12.2025Falkirk — Heart of Midlothian0:2
- 27.09.2025Heart of Midlothian — Falkirk3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 11 | 7 | +10 | 24 |
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Championship round | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 5, Championship round | Dundee FC | 11 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 86951The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →