Paraguayan Primera Division · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Cerro Porteño — Recoleta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Cerro Porteño are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cerro Porteño are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Cerro Porteño are 202 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Cerro Porteño 4 wins, Recoleta 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cerro Porteño — Recoleta What is xG? | 1.8–1.0 | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 82% | |
| Recoleta not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cerro Porteño
- Cerro Porteño goals
- Recoleta goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cerro Porteño | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 15.9 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 58 | 53 |
Form
- 01.11Olimpia0:2
- 26.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:1
- 18.10Sportivo Ameliano2:2
- 11.10away · Luqueño3:0
- 06.102 de Mayo0:2
- 31.10Sportivo Ameliano3:0
- 25.10away · 2 de Mayo1:1
- 17.10Rubio Ñú1:0
- 13.10away · Nacional (PAR)0:1
- 05.10Libertad1:2
Head to head
- 04.09.2026Recoleta — Cerro Porteño1:3
- 03.05.2026Recoleta — Cerro Porteño2:1
- 02.03.2026Cerro Porteño — Recoleta2:0
- 04.10.2025Cerro Porteño — Recoleta2:0
- 27.07.2025Recoleta — Cerro Porteño1:3
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 4330261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →