Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 7 November, 02:00 (UTC+3)

Chicó FC — Internacional de Bogotá

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Model prediction for 7 November

Chicó FC37%

Draw30%

Internacional de Bogotá33%

Model estimate at 08:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Chicó FC 37%, Internacional de Bogotá 33%, draw 30%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: Chicó FC — No. 17, 16 pts; Internacional de Bogotá — No. 12, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Chicó FC 2 wins, Internacional de Bogotá 2, 1 draw.
Days of rest before the match: Chicó FC 5, Internacional de Bogotá 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicó FC — Internacional de Bogotá What is xG?		1.3–1.2
Chicó FC not to lose		67%
Internacional de Bogotá not to lose		63%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		52%
Both teams to score: no		48%
Total over 2.5		44%
Total under 2.5		56%

Model vs market

The model agrees with the market: no outcome differs by more than 2 points.

Chicó FC to winModel37%odds 2.70Market37%odds 2.74
DrawModel30%odds 3.33Market28%odds 3.55
Internacional de Bogotá to winModel33%odds 3.03Market35%odds 2.84
Total over 2.5Model44%odds 2.27Market44%odds 2.25
Total under 2.5Model56%odds 1.79Market56%odds 1.80
Both teams to score: yesModel52%odds 1.92Market51%odds 1.95
Both teams to score: noModel48%odds 2.08Market49%odds 2.05

Market — the probabilities in the bookmakers’ odds with their margin removed; odds — the fair price, 1 / probability. A comparison of two estimates, not betting advice.

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Chicó FC
Chicó FC goals
Internacional de Bogotá goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Chicó FC	Internacional de Bogotá
Goals scored per match	0.7	1.5
Goals conceded per match	1.5	1.5
xG per match	0.76	1.16
Opponents’ xG	1.07	1.35
Shots	10.2	12.7
On target	3.0	4.0
Corners	5.3	4.4
Cards	2.7	2.8
Possession, %	46	42

Averages per match: Chicó FC — the last 10, Internacional de Bogotá — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Chicó FC

02.11away · Deportivo Cali0:2
28.10Junior1:1
24.10Bucaramanga1:0
21.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:2
17.10Atlético Nacional1:4

Internacional de Bogotá

29.10Independiente Medellín3:1
26.10away · Alianza FC0:1
21.10Fortaleza FC2:1
11.10away · Junior2:2
05.10Once Caldas1:1

Head to head

27.04.2026Internacional de Bogotá — Chicó FC4:0
12.08.2025Chicó FC — Internacional de Bogotá0:0
22.02.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Chicó FC0:1
30.10.2024Chicó FC — Internacional de Bogotá1:0
08.04.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Chicó FC4:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11	Cúcuta	16	6	3	7	18–24	-6	21
12	Internacional de Bogotá	17	4	8	5	21–23	-2	20
13	Llaneros FC	17	6	2	9	19–23	-4	20
16	Junior	17	3	7	7	23–27	-4	16
17	Chicó FC	17	4	4	9	13–28	-15	16
18	Deportivo Pasto	17	4	3	10	13–24	-11	15

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

04:00
Fortaleza FCIndependiente Medellín
333037
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →