Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
CS Puertollano — Albacete
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Albacete are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Albacete are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Albacete: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CS Puertollano — Albacete What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| CS Puertollano not to lose | 39% | |
| Albacete not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CS Puertollano
- CS Puertollano goals
- Albacete goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
- 25.09away · Girona0:2
- 18.09Córdoba1:2
- 12.09away · Granada1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
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- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →