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2. Bundesliga, round 12 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Darmstadt — FC Heidenheim

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Model prediction for 20 November

Darmstadt32%
Draw27%
FC Heidenheim41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Heidenheim are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Heidenheim are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Darmstadt — No. 16, 9 pts; FC Heidenheim — No. 6, 15 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • FC Heidenheim: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Darmstadt 1 win, FC Heidenheim 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Darmstadt — FC Heidenheim What is xG?1.5–1.7
Darmstadt not to lose59%
FC Heidenheim not to lose68%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes65%
Both teams to score: no35%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Darmstadt
  • Darmstadt goals
  • FC Heidenheim goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatDarmstadtFC Heidenheim
Goals scored per match1.11.5
Goals conceded per match1.72.0
xG per match1.102.28
Opponents’ xG1.611.23
Shots11.619.2
On target3.26.4
Corners4.17.0
Cards2.11.7
Possession, %4050

Averages per match: Darmstadt — the last 10, FC Heidenheim — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Darmstadt

  • 31.10Magdeburg1:1
  • 27.10away · Elversberg2:0
  • 23.10St. Pauli0:0
  • 18.10away · Karlsruher SC0:4
  • 10.10Energie Cottbus3:1

FC Heidenheim

  • 31.10away · Karlsruher SC1:2
  • 24.10Energie Cottbus1:1
  • 17.10away · Wolfsburg1:3
  • 09.10Kaiserslautern0:0
  • 20.09away · Arminia Bielefeld2:2

Head to head

  • 28.04.2024Darmstadt — FC Heidenheim0:1
  • 09.12.2023FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt3:2
  • 04.03.2023FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt1:0
  • 27.08.2022Darmstadt — FC Heidenheim2:2
  • 04.03.2022Darmstadt — FC Heidenheim3:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Magdeburg1052321–13+817
6FC Heidenheim1043317–18-115
7Arminia Bielefeld1042416–15+114
15Eintracht Braunschweig1031616–18-210
16, Relegation play-offDarmstadt102359–19-109
17, RelegationHolstein Kiel1015410–12-28

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →