Chilean Liga de Primera, round 24 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández
Deportes Limache — Palestino
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Deportes Limache to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Deportes Limache are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Deportes Limache 0 wins, Palestino 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportes Limache — Palestino What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Deportes Limache not to lose | 67% | |
| Palestino not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache goals
- Palestino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.09away · Unión La Calera0:1
- 08.09Cobresal3:0
- 03.09Ñublense2:0
- 30.08Everton CD0:3
- 23.08away · Huachipato3:1
- 13.09Universidad Católica2:3
- 07.09Universidad de Concepción2:1
- 29.08away · Cobresal0:2
- 24.08away · O'Higgins1:0
- 18.08Huachipato5:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Palestino — Deportes Limache1:0
- 04.11.2025Palestino — Deportes Limache2:1
- 18.05.2025Deportes Limache — Palestino0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
Next matches
- PalestinoColo Colo25 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Universidad de ConcepciónDeportes Limache26 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 16:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →