Chilean Liga de Primera, round 24 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Codelco El Teniente
Universidad de Chile — Ñublense
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:0Came true
In short
Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, Universidad de Chile to win (68%), came true.
Universidad de Chile are clear favourites: 68% against 13% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad de Chile are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad de Chile — Ñublense What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Universidad de Chile not to lose | 87% | |
| Ñublense not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile goals
- Ñublense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.09away · La Serena3:0
- 06.09Coquimbo Unido4:2
- 30.08away · Universidad de Concepción1:2
- 23.08Colo Colo1:2
- 16.08away · Deportes Limache3:1
- 12.09Everton CD1:3
- 06.09away · La Serena1:2
- 03.09away · Deportes Limache0:2
- 30.08Deportes Concepción0:1
- 23.08away · Universidad Católica2:1
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Ñublense — Universidad de Chile1:0
- 20.07.2025Ñublense — Universidad de Chile2:2
- 16.02.2025Universidad de Chile — Ñublense5:0
- 04.11.2024Ñublense — Universidad de Chile1:4
- 27.05.2024Universidad de Chile — Ñublense0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 23 | 13 | +17 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 24 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | -5 | 30 |
Next matches
- ÑublenseCoquimbo Unido25 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Universidad de ChileEverton CD27 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary6520151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 4126331The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →