Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Cuenca — Orense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Deportivo Cuenca are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Cuenca are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Deportivo Cuenca are 72 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Orense: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Cuenca 0 wins, Orense 3, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Deportivo Cuenca 7, Orense 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Cuenca — Orense What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Deportivo Cuenca not to lose | 73% | |
| Orense not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca goals
- Orense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Deportivo Cuenca | Orense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 13.1 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 4.3 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 46 |
Form
- 31.10away · Delfín1:3
- 24.10away · Manta2:0
- 16.10Técnico Universitario2:1
- 11.10away · Orense0:0
- 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
- 02.11Técnico Universitario1:1
- 24.10Delfín4:0
- 19.10away · Mushuc Runa1:1
- 11.10Deportivo Cuenca0:0
- 21.09away · Manta1:2
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Orense — Deportivo Cuenca0:0
- 16.08.2026Orense — Deportivo Cuenca2:0
- 22.04.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Orense1:3
- 31.08.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Orense1:1
- 10.05.2025Orense — Deportivo Cuenca1:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →