Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Garcilaso — Comerciantes Unidos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Deportivo Garcilaso are clear favourites: 62% against 17% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Garcilaso are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Deportivo Garcilaso are 212 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Garcilaso 1 win, Comerciantes Unidos 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Garcilaso — Comerciantes Unidos What is xG? | 2.0–0.9 | |
| Deportivo Garcilaso not to lose | 83% | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Garcilaso
- Deportivo Garcilaso goals
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Deportivo Garcilaso | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 17.9 | 16.1 |
| On target | 7.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 54 |
Form
- 02.11away · UTC Cajamarca3:2
- 28.10away · Alianza Atlético2:3
- 26.10Los Chankas4:1
- 18.10away · Melgar2:4
- 10.10Sport Huancayo0:1
- 03.11Asociación Deportiva Tarma2:2
- 30.10away · Melgar1:1
- 25.10Cienciano3:1
- 18.10away · Sporting Cristal2:4
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
Head to head
- 25.05.2026Comerciantes Unidos — Deportivo Garcilaso0:0
- 27.07.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Deportivo Garcilaso0:0
- 16.02.2025Deportivo Garcilaso — Comerciantes Unidos2:1
- 25.08.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Deportivo Garcilaso2:1
- 28.03.2024Deportivo Garcilaso — Comerciantes Unidos1:2
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 871031The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →