Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Universitario — Deportivo Moquegua
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Universitario are clear favourites: 87% against 3% for the opponent, draw 10%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 32%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
- Universitario are 394 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Universitario: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universitario — Deportivo Moquegua What is xG? | 2.4–0.4 | |
| Universitario not to lose | 97% | |
| Deportivo Moquegua not to lose | 13% | |
| No draw | 90% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 32% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 68% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Universitario
- Universitario goals
- Deportivo Moquegua goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Universitario | Deportivo Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 12.0 |
| On target | 6.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 41 |
Form
- 01.11away · Atlético Grau3:1
- 25.10ADC Juan Pablo II3:0
- 18.10away · Alianza Atlético4:1
- 11.10Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
- 01.11Los Chankas0:0
- 28.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:2
- 25.10Alianza Lima0:1
- 18.10away · FC Cajamarca1:0
- 08.10Cienciano0:2
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Deportivo Moquegua — Universitario0:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →