Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Everton CD — Deportes Concepción
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Everton CD are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Everton CD are 114 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Everton CD — No. 5, 40 pts; Deportes Concepción — No. 9, 35 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Everton CD 6, Deportes Concepción 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Everton CD — Deportes Concepción What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Everton CD not to lose | 78% | |
| Deportes Concepción not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Everton CD goals
- Deportes Concepción goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Everton CD | Deportes Concepción |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 16.7 | 12.4 |
| On target | 7.1 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 43 |
Form
- 01.11away · Cobresal2:2
- 27.10away · Universidad de Chile1:4
- 11.10La Serena3:2
- 12.09away · Ñublense3:1
- 06.09Universidad Católica0:1
- 03.11Palestino1:0
- 24.10away · La Serena1:3
- 11.10Unión La Calera1:1
- 13.09away · Colo Colo1:1
- 05.09Audax Italiano0:1
Head to head
- 18.05.2026Deportes Concepción — Everton CD0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton CD | 26 | 11 | +10 | 40 |
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 26 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 26 | 9 | -9 | 35 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →