Segunda Division, round 15 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
FC Andorra — Leganés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Andorra are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Andorra are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- FC Andorra are 134 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Andorra — No. 20, 10 pts; Leganés — No. 17, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Leganés: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Andorra 2 wins, Leganés 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Andorra — Leganés What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 78% | |
| Leganés not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Andorra
- FC Andorra goals
- Leganés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Andorra | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 12.9 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 3.4 |
| Possession, % | 62 | 49 |
Form
- 29.10away · CD Varea3:0
- 26.10Burgos CF2:3
- 18.10away · Girona0:2
- 11.10Castellón1:0
- 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
- 02.11away · Real Valladolid3:4
- 24.10Mallorca1:1
- 16.10Córdoba0:1
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Leganés — FC Andorra0:4
- 04.10.2025FC Andorra — Leganés1:2
- 14.01.2024FC Andorra — Leganés2:3
- 13.08.2023Leganés — FC Andorra0:1
- 21.05.2023Leganés — FC Andorra1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 12 | 3 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | -7 | 11 |
| 19, Relegation | Cádiz | 12 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 20, Relegation | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 21, Relegation | Albacete | 12 | 2 | -13 | 7 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →