Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
FC Cajamarca — Alianza Atlético
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Alianza Atlético are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alianza Atlético are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Alianza Atlético are 128 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- FC Cajamarca: 4 defeats in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: FC Cajamarca 5, Alianza Atlético 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Cajamarca — Alianza Atlético What is xG? | 1.6–1.8 | |
| FC Cajamarca not to lose | 57% | |
| Alianza Atlético not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Cajamarca
- FC Cajamarca goals
- Alianza Atlético goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Cajamarca | Alianza Atlético |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 18.1 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 3.0 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 51 |
Form
- 02.11away · Sporting Cristal0:5
- 28.10UTC Cajamarca1:3
- 25.10away · Sport Boys2:4
- 18.10Deportivo Moquegua0:1
- 10.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 31.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:0
- 28.10Deportivo Garcilaso3:2
- 24.10away · Sport Huancayo1:4
- 18.10Universitario1:4
- 11.10away · Sport Boys3:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Alianza Atlético — FC Cajamarca1:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 3127412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →