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Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Stadion Kolos

FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr

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Model prediction for 1 November

FC Kolos Kovalivka20%
Draw31%
Polissya Zhytomyr49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Polissya Zhytomyr are clear favourites: 49% against 20% for the opponent, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Polissya Zhytomyr are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr are 83 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: FC Kolos Kovalivka — No. 8, 11 pts; Polissya Zhytomyr — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: FC Kolos Kovalivka 1 win, Polissya Zhytomyr 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr What is xG?0.8–1.4
FC Kolos Kovalivka not to lose51%
Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose80%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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Form

FC Kolos Kovalivka

  • 23.10away · Veres Rivne2:0
  • 17.10away · Shakhtar Donetsk1:2
  • 10.10Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:1
  • 20.09away · Kudrivka3:2
  • 11.09Karpaty0:2

Polissya Zhytomyr

  • 23.10Obolon Kyiv3:0
  • 18.10Dynamo Kyiv3:1
  • 11.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:2
  • 18.09Kryvbas1:0
  • 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr0:2
  • 10.08.2025Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka0:1
  • 27.04.2025FC Kolos Kovalivka — Polissya Zhytomyr1:1
  • 25.10.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka1:1
  • 14.04.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — FC Kolos Kovalivka1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingShakhtar Donetsk1191122–5+1728
2, Europa League or Conference LeaguePolissya Zhytomyr1081123–8+1525
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDynamo Kyiv1071216–9+722
7LNZ Cherkasy1043310–9+115
8FC Kolos Kovalivka932412–13-111
9Chornomorets Odesa102358–12-49

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →