Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Cherkasy Arena
LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv
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In short
Evenly matched: LNZ Cherkasy 33%, FC Kharkiv 32%, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: LNZ Cherkasy — No. 7, 15 pts; FC Kharkiv — No. 4, 21 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- FC Kharkiv: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 1 win, FC Kharkiv 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv What is xG? | 0.9–1.0 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 68% | |
| FC Kharkiv not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
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Form
- 24.10away · Liviy Bereh0:0
- 18.10away · Kryvbas3:0
- 11.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
- 24.10away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:1
- 19.10Liviy Bereh2:1
- 10.10away · Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
- 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
Head to head
- 26.04.2026LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv1:1
- 25.10.2025FC Kharkiv — LNZ Cherkasy0:1
- 08.03.2024FC Kharkiv — LNZ Cherkasy1:1
- 26.08.2023LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Zorya | 11 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 2031492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →