FC Vaduz — Sion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Sion are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sion are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Sion are 88 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Vaduz — No. 10, 10 pts; Sion — No. 3, 23 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Vaduz — Sion What is xG? | 1.5–2.0 | |
| FC Vaduz not to lose | 50% | |
| Sion not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz goals
- Sion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Vaduz | Sion |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.87 | 2.31 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.93 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.7 |
| On target | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 58 | 53 |
Form
- 31.10away · Grasshopper2:2
- 24.10away · Servette1:2
- 11.10Basel3:0
- 20.09Thun1:2
- 13.09away · FC Zürich1:2
- 31.10away · Luzern1:1
- 25.10Lausanne1:0
- 10.10away · Servette0:3
- 19.09FC Zürich1:1
- 15.09away · Grasshopper5:2
Head to head
- 09.08.2026Sion — FC Vaduz3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Young Boys | 12 | 7 | +15 | 25 |
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 12 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 4, Championship round | FC Zürich | 12 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 9, Relegation round | Thun | 12 | 4 | -10 | 13 |
| 10, Relegation round | FC Vaduz | 12 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11, Relegation round | Grasshopper | 12 | 2 | -13 | 10 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- 2824482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:34.2
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →