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Swiss Super League, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Luzern — Young Boys

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Model prediction for 7 November

Luzern28%
Draw24%
Young Boys48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Young Boys are slightly stronger: 48% against 28%, draw 24%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 77%, both teams to score — 78%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • In recent matches the betting market rated Young Boys higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • League table: Luzern — No. 8, 13 pts; Young Boys — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Luzern 0 wins, Young Boys 4, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Luzern — Young Boys What is xG?1.9–2.3
Luzern not to lose52%
Young Boys not to lose72%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes78%
Both teams to score: no22%
Total over 2.577%
Total under 2.523%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Luzern
  • Luzern goals
  • Young Boys goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatLuzernYoung Boys
Goals scored per match1.82.8
Goals conceded per match1.92.1
xG per match2.002.12
Opponents’ xG2.131.68
Shots17.018.7
On target5.26.8
Corners5.26.3
Cards2.72.5
Possession, %4651

Averages per match: Luzern — the last 10, Young Boys — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Luzern

  • 31.10Sion1:1
  • 24.10away · FC Zürich1:2
  • 10.10away · Lugano0:4
  • 19.09Grasshopper5:1
  • 13.09Basel2:4

Young Boys

  • 01.11FC Zürich3:5
  • 24.10St. Gallen2:0
  • 11.10away · Grasshopper2:0
  • 19.09Servette3:2
  • 12.09away · Lugano2:2

Head to head

  • 05.09.2026Young Boys — Luzern3:3
  • 04.03.2026Luzern — Young Boys1:2
  • 14.12.2025Young Boys — Luzern2:0
  • 14.09.2025Luzern — Young Boys1:2
  • 15.05.2025Young Boys — Luzern2:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundLugano12111036–10+2634
2, Championship roundYoung Boys1274138–23+1525
3, Championship roundSion1272325–18+723
7, Relegation roundBasel1242618–22-414
8, Relegation roundLuzern1234519–25-613
9, Relegation roundThun1241724–34-1013

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

  • FC VaduzSion
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
  • GrasshopperLausanne
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →