Turkish Cup, round 3 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Fethiyespor — Eyüpspor
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2:4Came true
In short
Final score 2:4: the model's most likely outcome, Eyüpspor to win (53%), came true.
Eyüpspor are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eyüpspor are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Eyüpspor are 104 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Eyüpspor: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fethiyespor — Eyüpspor What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Fethiyespor not to lose | 47% | |
| Eyüpspor not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fethiyespor
- Fethiyespor goals
- Eyüpspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.03Fatih Karagümrük0:2
- 03.02away · Trabzonspor0:3
- 13.01Galatasaray1:2
- 24.12away · Boluspor0:0
- 04.12Bandırmaspor4:1
- 01.11away · Amed Sportif1:5
- 24.10Kasımpaşa0:1
- 17.10away · Erzurumspor FK0:2
- 12.10Göztepe0:4
- 20.09away · Fenerbahçe0:8
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- EyüpsporKocaelispor7 November · Super Lig2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →