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Scottish Premiership, round 12 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Hibernian — Dundee FC

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Model prediction for 24 November

Hibernian60%
Draw22%
Dundee FC18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hibernian are clear favourites: 60% against 18% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Hibernian are 56 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Hibernian — No. 12, 8 pts; Dundee FC — No. 5, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Hibernian: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hibernian 4 wins, Dundee FC 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hibernian — Dundee FC What is xG?1.9–1.0
Hibernian not to lose82%
Dundee FC not to lose40%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Hibernian
  • Hibernian goals
  • Dundee FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatHibernianDundee FC
Goals scored per match1.01.7
Goals conceded per match1.51.2
xG per match1.461.50
Opponents’ xG1.461.57
Shots15.113.2
On target3.54.8
Corners5.95.2
Cards1.41.5
Possession, %5241

Averages per match: Hibernian — the last 10, Dundee FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hibernian

  • 28.10away · St. Mirren1:1
  • 25.10Celtic1:2
  • 17.10Falkirk1:2
  • 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
  • 19.09Aberdeen1:1

Dundee FC

  • 28.10Kilmarnock3:1
  • 24.10away · St. Mirren1:2
  • 17.10Rangers2:2
  • 10.10away · Falkirk2:1
  • 19.09Motherwell2:1

Head to head

  • 30.08.2026Dundee FC — Hibernian1:2
  • 28.02.2026Dundee FC — Hibernian3:3
  • 22.11.2025Hibernian — Dundee FC2:0
  • 03.08.2025Dundee FC — Hibernian1:2
  • 13.04.2025Hibernian — Dundee FC4:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Championship roundFalkirk1253415–12+318
5, Championship roundDundee FC1152417–13+417
6, Championship roundDundee United1144316–16016
11, Relegation roundKilmarnock1223713–28-159
12, Relegation roundHibernian1122711–17-68

Season 2026/27

Full table

Scottish Premiership on the same day

  • RangersAberdeenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →