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Scottish Premiership, round 12 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Rangers — Aberdeen

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Model prediction for 24 November

Rangers80%
Draw13%
Aberdeen6%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rangers are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rangers are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Rangers are 347 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Rangers — No. 2, 24 pts; Aberdeen — No. 10, 11 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Rangers: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rangers 5 wins, Aberdeen 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rangers — Aberdeen What is xG?2.5–0.7
Rangers not to lose94%
Aberdeen not to lose20%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Rangers
  • Rangers goals
  • Aberdeen goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatRangersAberdeen
Goals scored per match1.81.0
Goals conceded per match0.81.3
xG per match2.441.12
Opponents’ xG1.061.46
Shots19.613.3
On target6.83.5
Corners7.16.0
Cards1.72.4
Possession, %5646

Averages per match: Rangers — the last 10, Aberdeen — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Rangers

  • 28.10away · Heart of Midlothian2:2
  • 24.10St. Johnstone4:0
  • 17.10away · Dundee FC2:2
  • 10.10Kilmarnock3:1
  • 20.09away · Celtic1:0

Aberdeen

  • 28.10Falkirk0:1
  • 24.10away · Dundee United2:3
  • 17.10St. Mirren3:1
  • 11.10St. Johnstone0:1
  • 19.09away · Hibernian1:1

Head to head

  • 30.08.2026Aberdeen — Rangers0:1
  • 21.03.2026Rangers — Aberdeen4:1
  • 11.01.2026Aberdeen — Rangers0:2
  • 06.01.2026Rangers — Aberdeen2:0
  • 11.05.2025Rangers — Aberdeen4:0

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundCeltic1291227–10+1728
2, Championship roundRangers1173119–9+1024
3, Championship roundHeart of Midlothian1162324–17+720
9, Relegation roundMotherwell1233614–20-612
10, Relegation roundAberdeen1132612–14-211
11, Relegation roundKilmarnock1223713–28-159

Season 2026/27

Full table

Scottish Premiership on the same day

  • HibernianDundee FCpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →