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English Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Hull City — Brighton & Hove Albion

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Model prediction for 22 November

Hull City13%
Draw26%
Brighton & Hove Albion61%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 61% against 13% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion are 141 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Hull City — No. 11, 11 pts; Brighton & Hove Albion — No. 3, 19 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Hull City: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hull City — Brighton & Hove Albion What is xG?1.0–1.9
Hull City not to lose39%
Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose87%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Hull City
  • Hull City goals
  • Brighton & Hove Albion goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatHull CityBrighton & Hove Albion
Goals scored per match1.02.5
Goals conceded per match1.20.6
xG per match1.121.92
Opponents’ xG1.330.99
Shots11.318.9
On target3.25.3
Corners5.25.5
Cards2.72.1
Possession, %3855

Averages per match: Hull City — the last 10, Brighton & Hove Albion — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hull City

  • 31.10Ipswich Town2:2
  • 25.10Brentford1:1
  • 17.10away · Fulham0:1
  • 11.10Everton2:2
  • 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • 31.10away · Manchester City1:0
  • 28.10away · Manchester City2:2
  • 25.10away · Liverpool0:2
  • 22.10away · Jablonec0:0
  • 18.10Crystal Palace5:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Champions LeagueManchester City970220–10+1021
3, Champions LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion961224–7+1719
4, Champions LeagueChelsea951319–15+416
10Aston Villa933310–13-312
11Hull City925211–10+111
12Leeds United92529–8+111

Season 2026/27

Full table

Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →