Tanzania Premier League, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
JKT Tanzania — Simba SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Simba SC are clear favourites: 66% against 11% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Simba SC are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
- Simba SC are 235 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: JKT Tanzania — No. 4, 17 pts; Simba SC — No. 1, 30 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Simba SC: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: JKT Tanzania 0 wins, Simba SC 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JKT Tanzania — Simba SC What is xG? | 0.6–1.7 | |
| JKT Tanzania not to lose | 34% | |
| Simba SC not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap JKT Tanzania
- JKT Tanzania goals
- Simba SC goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 31.10Azam FC1:2
- 27.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC0:0
- 24.10Kagera Sugar1:0
- 18.10Mbeya City2:1
- 09.10away · Fountain Gate FC2:1
- 02.11Namungo FC3:2
- 29.10away · Fountain Gate FC1:0
- 13.10Mashujaa6:1
- 10.10Young Africans2:1
- 16.09away · Azam FC2:0
Head to head
- 06.05.2026Simba SC — JKT Tanzania1:0
- 08.11.2025JKT Tanzania — Simba SC1:2
- 05.05.2025JKT Tanzania — Simba SC0:1
- 24.12.2024Simba SC — JKT Tanzania1:0
- 28.05.2024Simba SC — JKT Tanzania2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 10 | 10 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 10 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 10 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- Pamba JijiCoastal Unionpreliminary4231281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Dodoma Jiji FCFountain Gate FCpreliminary5727161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →