Norwegian Eliteserien, round 26 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Kristiansund — Vålerenga
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In short
Vålerenga are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vålerenga are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Vålerenga higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Kristiansund — No. 15, 23 pts; Vålerenga — No. 8, 32 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Vålerenga: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Kristiansund 1 win, Vålerenga 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kristiansund — Vålerenga What is xG? | 1.6–2.0 | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 53% | |
| Vålerenga not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kristiansund | Vålerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.94 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.56 | 1.86 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 18.0 |
| On target | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 6.3 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 41 | 51 |
Form
- 01.11away · Sarpsborg 084:2
- 25.10KFUM2:2
- 17.10Aalesund1:4
- 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
Head to head
- 29.05.2026Vålerenga — Kristiansund3:1
- 22.11.2025Vålerenga — Kristiansund3:0
- 27.04.2025Kristiansund — Vålerenga0:2
- 11.09.2022Kristiansund — Vålerenga3:2
- 10.07.2022Vålerenga — Kristiansund3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | -7 | 31 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | -14 | 24 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 25 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 25 | 5 | -29 | 19 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →