Russian Premier League, round 14 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Moscow are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lokomotiv Moscow are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Lokomotiv Moscow are 99 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Moscow — No. 13, 10 pts; Rubin Kazan — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Rubin Kazan: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Moscow 2 wins, Rubin Kazan 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Lokomotiv Moscow not to lose | 83% | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow goals
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10Akron Togliatti1:1
- 10.10away · Fakel5:0
- 16.09Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
- 12.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg1:2
- 06.09away · Baltika1:0
- 15.10FC Orenburg1:4
- 11.10Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Rubin Kazan — Lokomotiv Moscow3:0
- 27.09.2025Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan1:0
- 12.04.2025Rubin Kazan — Lokomotiv Moscow1:0
- 02.11.2024Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan1:0
- 20.04.2024Rubin Kazan — Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | -8 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →