Polish Ekstraklasa, round 14 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Motor Lublin — Wisła Płock
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Motor Lublin are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Motor Lublin are 87 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Motor Lublin — No. 14, 9 pts; Wisła Płock — No. 12, 11 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Motor Lublin 1 win, Wisła Płock 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Motor Lublin — Wisła Płock What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Motor Lublin not to lose | 72% | |
| Wisła Płock not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin goals
- Wisła Płock goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Radomiak Radom3:2
- 19.09Górnik Zabrze0:0
- 11.09away · Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 05.09Legia Warszawa2:3
- 29.08Piast Gliwice0:2
- 09.10away · Wieczysta Kraków0:3
- 20.09away · Zagłębie Lubin2:0
- 13.09Cracovia3:1
- 07.09away · Pogoń Szczecin1:1
- 28.08Korona Kielce0:2
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Wisła Płock — Motor Lublin0:4
- 08.11.2025Motor Lublin — Wisła Płock1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Wisła KrakówCracoviapreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →