Polish Ekstraklasa, round 14 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Wisła Kraków — Cracovia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wisła Kraków are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- Wisła Kraków are 116 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Wisła Kraków — No. 6, 18 pts; Cracovia — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Wisła Kraków 2 wins, Cracovia 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wisła Kraków — Cracovia What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Wisła Kraków not to lose | 77% | |
| Cracovia not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Form
- 16.10away · Widzew Łódź0:0
- 11.10away · Legia Warszawa0:2
- 18.09Śląsk Wrocław2:1
- 11.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:0
- 05.09away · Korona Kielce1:1
- 10.10Zagłębie Lubin3:1
- 19.09away · GKS Katowice2:3
- 13.09away · Wisła Płock1:3
- 06.09Górnik Zabrze0:1
- 29.08away · Radomiak Radom1:2
Head to head
- 01.05.2022Cracovia — Wisła Kraków0:0
- 07.11.2021Wisła Kraków — Cracovia1:0
- 24.04.2021Wisła Kraków — Cracovia0:0
- 04.12.2020Cracovia — Wisła Kraków1:1
- 03.03.2020Cracovia — Wisła Kraków0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Motor LublinWisła Płockpreliminary4330281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →