Ukrainian Premier League, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3) · Obolon Arena
Obolon Kyiv — Liviy Bereh
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
In short
Evenly matched: Obolon Kyiv 31%, Liviy Bereh 34%, draw 35%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Liviy Bereh are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Obolon Kyiv are 72 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Obolon Kyiv — No. 14, 7 pts; Liviy Bereh — No. 13, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 2 meetings: Obolon Kyiv 1 win, Liviy Bereh 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Obolon Kyiv 7, Liviy Bereh 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Obolon Kyiv — Liviy Bereh What is xG? | 0.9–1.0 | |
| Obolon Kyiv not to lose | 66% | |
| Liviy Bereh not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv goals
- Liviy Bereh goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Obolon Kyiv | Liviy Bereh |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| On target | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 48 |
Form
- 30.10away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:2
- 23.10away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:3
- 16.10Veres Rivne2:0
- 18.09away · Chornomorets Odesa1:1
- 12.09away · LNZ Cherkasy1:3
- 24.10LNZ Cherkasy0:0
- 19.10away · FC Kharkiv1:2
- 12.10Zorya1:3
- 19.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:0
- 13.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
Head to head
- 23.05.2025Obolon Kyiv — Liviy Bereh1:0
- 30.11.2024Liviy Bereh — Obolon Kyiv1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 11 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Liviy Bereh | 9 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Obolon Kyiv | 10 | 1 | -13 | 7 |
| 15, Relegation | Kryvbas | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 791561The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →