Ukrainian Premier League, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Polissya Zhytomyr — Veres Rivne
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In short
Polissya Zhytomyr are clear favourites: 79% against 6% for the opponent, draw 15%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polissya Zhytomyr are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
- Polissya Zhytomyr are 405 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Polissya Zhytomyr — No. 2, 25 pts; Veres Rivne — No. 12, 9 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Polissya Zhytomyr: unbeaten in 5; Veres Rivne: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Polissya Zhytomyr 2 wins, Veres Rivne 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Polissya Zhytomyr 14, Veres Rivne 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Polissya Zhytomyr — Veres Rivne What is xG? | 2.2–0.5 | |
| Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose | 94% | |
| Veres Rivne not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr goals
- Veres Rivne goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Polissya Zhytomyr | Veres Rivne |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 6.2 |
| On target | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 49 |
Form
- 23.10Obolon Kyiv3:0
- 18.10Dynamo Kyiv3:1
- 11.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:2
- 18.09Kryvbas1:0
- 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0
- 31.10Chornomorets Odesa1:3
- 23.10FC Kolos Kovalivka0:2
- 16.10away · Obolon Kyiv0:2
- 09.10Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 03.10Kudrivka2:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Polissya Zhytomyr — Veres Rivne1:1
- 29.09.2025Veres Rivne — Polissya Zhytomyr1:4
- 11.03.2025Veres Rivne — Polissya Zhytomyr5:1
- 15.09.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — Veres Rivne2:1
- 01.12.2023Polissya Zhytomyr — Veres Rivne1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 10 | 8 | +15 | 25 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 10 | 1 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 11 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Liviy Bereh | 9 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 313534XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →