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FA Cup · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Oldham Athletic — Sheffield Wednesday

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Model prediction for 8 November

Oldham Athletic46%
Draw26%
Sheffield Wednesday28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Oldham Athletic are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Oldham Athletic are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Oldham Athletic are 115 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Oldham Athletic — Sheffield Wednesday What is xG?1.6–1.2
Oldham Athletic not to lose72%
Sheffield Wednesday not to lose54%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Oldham Athletic
  • Oldham Athletic goals
  • Sheffield Wednesday goals
  • Corners and cards
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Oldham Athletic

  • 08.08away · Stoke City0:2
  • 06.12away · Milton Keynes Dons1:3
  • 01.11Northampton Town3:1
  • 30.11away · Leyton Orient1:2
  • 02.11away · Tranmere Rovers2:1

Sheffield Wednesday

  • 25.08Wolverhampton Wanderers0:2
  • 08.08Bolton Wanderers1:0
  • 02.05West Bromwich Albion2:1
  • 25.04away · Oxford United1:4
  • 22.04away · Middlesbrough0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

FA Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →