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FA Cup · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Wimborne Town — Crawley Town

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Model prediction for 8 November

Wimborne Town42%
Draw26%
Crawley Town31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Wimborne Town are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wimborne Town are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Wimborne Town are 76 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wimborne Town — Crawley Town What is xG?1.5–1.3
Wimborne Town not to lose69%
Crawley Town not to lose58%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Wimborne Town
  • Wimborne Town goals
  • Crawley Town goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Wimborne Town

No past matches in the data yet.

Crawley Town

  • 08.08away · Watford0:1
  • 01.11away · Boreham Wood0:3
  • 12.08away · Swansea City1:3
  • 30.11Lincoln City3:4
  • 02.11away · Maidenhead United2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

FA Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →