Ligue 1, round 10 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: 90% against 3% for the opponent, draw 7%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Paris Saint-Germain are about 2.3 goals per match stronger.
- Paris Saint-Germain are 480 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Paris Saint-Germain — No. 1, 20 pts; Troyes — No. 16, 8 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Paris Saint-Germain: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Paris Saint-Germain 3 wins, Troyes 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Paris Saint-Germain 4, Troyes 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes What is xG? | 3.0–0.6 | |
| Paris Saint-Germain not to lose | 97% | |
| Troyes not to lose | 10% | |
| No draw | 93% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Paris Saint-Germain | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 2.98 | 1.19 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.44 | 1.48 |
| Shots | 21.2 | 13.4 |
| On target | 10.2 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.6 |
| Cards | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 64 | 41 |
Form
- 03.11away · Villarreal6:0
- 30.10away · Le Havre5:1
- 26.10Lyon2:0
- 20.10Barcelona4:2
- 17.10away · Strasbourg3:1
Head to head
- 07.05.2023Troyes — Paris Saint-Germain1:3
- 29.10.2022Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes4:3
- 08.05.2022Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes2:2
- 07.08.2021Troyes — Paris Saint-Germain1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 6 | +11 | 20 |
| 2, Champions League | Lille | 9 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Troyes | 9 | 2 | -9 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | -7 | 7 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 2026542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 90% will not happen in roughly 10 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →