Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Qizilqum Zarafshon — Navbahor Namangan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Navbahor Namangan are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Navbahor Namangan are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Navbahor Namangan are 73 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Qizilqum Zarafshon — No. 8, 35 pts; Navbahor Namangan — No. 3, 52 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Qizilqum Zarafshon: unbeaten in 5; Navbahor Namangan: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Qizilqum Zarafshon — Navbahor Namangan What is xG? | 1.0–1.5 | |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon not to lose | 53% | |
| Navbahor Namangan not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Qizilqum Zarafshon
- Qizilqum Zarafshon goals
- Navbahor Namangan goals
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Team news
Form
- 30.10away · Kokand 19120:0
- 25.10Lokomotiv Tashkent1:1
- 15.10away · Andijon1:0
- 10.10Surkhon-20110:0
- 21.09away · Xorazm3:1
- 31.10Andijon1:0
- 26.10away · Xorazm2:1
- 17.10Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
- 11.10away · AGMK2:2
- 17.09Dinamo Samarkand3:2
Head to head
- 23.07.2026Navbahor Namangan — Qizilqum Zarafshon1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 26 | 16 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 15 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 | AGMK | 26 | 13 | +5 | 45 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 26 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 26 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarkand | 26 | 9 | 0 | 34 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 1729542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →