Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Reus — Barakaldo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Reus 37%, Barakaldo 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Reus — Barakaldo What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Reus not to lose | 64% | |
| Barakaldo not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Reus
- Reus goals
- Barakaldo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.12Racing de Ferrol1:2
- 30.10away · Lleida Esportiu3:1
- 01.11Málaga0:0
- 12.01Rayo Vallecano0:2
- 18.12Villarrubia CF0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →